Thursday, April 18, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of DJI, Facebook and Apple - Major S/H/S top in Copper?




 Copper

Massive Shoulder/Head/Shoulder top might have been activated, with a target near 2.0. Short term I would like to see a break below 2.99 and even better a break below 2.72 as that would confirm the decline to the S/H/S target at 2.0.

If we does see a decline to 2.0 in copper, that will mean that the global economy is slowing down and it will put pressure on stocks and likely lift bonds (lower interest rates) again.

Dow Jones Industrial Index

Time for a correction in wave iv before the last and final rally higher? We are getting close to an important top both short term and long term. Before we begin to call gloom and doom over the stock markets I think we need one more lift higher, but it will be very prudent to move the protective stop in close at this point I would call a top, if we does see a break below 13.784

Facebook
 
We have seen a very deep wave ii of 5, but we have likely seen the bottom or is very close to see the bottom in wave ii just slightly below 25.16, but no break below 24.73 is allowed. That should present a very low risk trade buying with a stop at 24.70. However, at this point we would love to see a break above 27.80 and more importantly a break above 28.09 as that would confirm the next powerful rally higher towards at least 31.45. As a target for wave 5 I'm looking for a move to 34.10.
 
Apple

Hit my target at 391 yesterday and we could well have seen the bottom of the correction from 703.86.
I would expect a rally to at least 594.25 to develop soon, if it hasn't already begun. That should be a nice rally of at least 51% from here. That said we now need some prof, that a bottom might be in place and the first indication will be a rally above 405 and more importantly a break above 427 that would call for the rally towards 594.25.

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