Sunday, September 15, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of NZD/USD - Time for the next big decline?


Monthly
 
Daily
 
NZD/USD

Panos asked me whether I think that we could see a move higher towards 0.92 in this cross?

I don't think we will see a move towards 0.92. In my view we have seen a major A-B-C rally since the 0.3902 low in October 2000. Wave A went from 0.3902 to 0.7465, while wave B became a large expanded flat correction and ended at 0.4891 and finally we saw wave c move higher to 0.8843 in August 2011. Currently we are seeing a new major decline and it should be a question about time before we will break below important support at 0.7679, which will call for a continuation towards at least 0.7145 and likely even deeper towards 0.6566.

Short term a break below 0.8091 will be the first indication, that the next part of the major decline has begun.

No comments:

Post a Comment