Monday, June 3, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD

 EUR/JPY

We have seen the expected breakdown from the b-wave triangle and are now looking for a continuation down to at least 128.25, but we still think a more likely target will be close to 125.87 for wave c. However, that would not be enough to fulfill our wave 2 target at 118.73 so it is more likely than not, that the decline from 133.81 down to 125.87 only will be the first zig-zag correction and that we will see at least one more or maybe even two more. That said, we should stay focused towards the downside and look for a break below 129.93 as the trigger for the next decline towards 128.25 and likely 125.87. Until we see the break below 129.93 we expect resistance at 130.48 will protect the upside.
EUR/NZD

Green wave iii ended a little earlier than we expected and green wave iv became a little deeper than expected, but that does not change the overall picture, that more upside is coming. As the target for green wave v and only blue wave iii we are looking for 1.6452 and possibly even 1.6530 before blue wave iv takes over for a minor correction. As blue wave ii was a deep and quick, we should expect blue wave iv to be shallow and take more time, but our main focus should be towards the upside the hole time as we are in the middle of wave 3 and even though corrections can be difficult to for-tell, they tend to be minor or even sub-normal.

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