Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD

 EUR/JPY

The wave iv correction became a new sub-normal correction, as the correction only fell to 113.13 before taking off again in wave v of 3. I expect this wave v of 3 to reach 117.31, where wave 3 will be 1.618 times longer than wave 1, this is a very common extension target and it's the smallest extension we expect for wave 3. Looking at the short term structure for wave v of 3 we are currently in wave iv of iii of 5 and should soon see wave v of iii of 5 higher towards 116.49 before we expect minor correction in wave iv before the last wave higher towards 117.31.
 
EUR/NZD

The correction from the 1.6218 high has become deeper than first expected, as we are looking at series of zig-zag corrections. As can be seen on the chart we have already corrected 50% of red wave i and it seems as we need a correction towards the 61.% retracement target at 1.5740 before we can expect the next rally higher in red wave iii of iii. That said, a break above resistance at 1.5988 will confirm that the correction from 1.6218 is over and red wave iii is under way towards 1.6218 as its first target, but longer term I will be looking for rally to at least 1.6515 and probably higher as red wave iii develops.

 

No comments:

Post a Comment